2016 Budget Speech delivered by President Muhammadu Buhari (GCFR) on Wednesday, Dec. 22
PROTOCOLS
I am honoured and privileged to present the 2016 Budget proposal. This
is my first address before this joint session of the National Assembly. I
have come here today, not only to address members of the National
Assembly but also to speak directly to the men and women who placed us
here.

FROM
LEFT: SENATE PRESIDENT BUKOLA SARAKI; SPEAKER, HOUSE OF
REPRESENTATIVES, YAKUBU DOGARA; PRESIDENT MUHAMMED BUHARI, AND CLERK OF
THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY (SENATE), ALHAJI SALISU MAIKASUWA, DURING
PRESENTATION OF THE 2016 APPROPRIATION BILL BY PRESIDENT BUHARI TO A
JOINT SESSION OF THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY, IN ABUJA ON TUESDAY (22/12/15).
I know the state of our economy is a source of concern for many. This
has been further worsened by the unbridled corruption and security
challenges we have faced in the last few years.
From those who have lost their jobs, to those young people who have
never had a job, to the people in the Northeast whose families and
businesses were destroyed by insurgents, this has been a difficult
period in our nation’s history, lessons that we must not forget or
ignore as we plan for the future.
By June 2014, oil prices averaged 112 dollars per barrel. But as at
today, the price is under 39 dollars per barrel. This huge decline is
having a painful effect on our economy.
Consumption has declined at all levels. In both the private and
public sectors, employers have struggled to meet their salary and other
employee related obligations. The small business owners and traders have
been particularly hard hit by this state of affairs.
Fellow Nigerians, the confidence of many might be shaken. However, I
stand before you today promising that we will secure our country,
rebuild our economy and make the Federal Republic of Nigeria stronger
than it has ever been.
The answers to our problems are not beyond us. They exist on our
farmlands; our corporations; in the universities in the hearts and minds
of our entrepreneurs; through the gallantry of our Armed Forces; and
the resolute spirit of Nigerians, especially the youth, who have refused
to give up despite all the obstacles confronting them.
This budget proposal, the first by our government, seeks to stimulate
the economy, making it more competitive by focusing on infrastructural
development; delivering inclusive growth and prioritising the welfare of
Nigerians.
We believe that this budget, while helping industry, commerce and
investment to pick up, will as a matter of urgency, address the
immediate problems of youth unemployment and the terrible living
conditions of the extremely poor and vulnerable Nigerians.
In the medium to longer term, we remain committed to economic
diversification through import substitution and export promotion. This
will build resilience in our economy. It will guarantee that the
problems we have today, will not confront our children and their
children. This shall be our legacy for generations to come.
2015: A Year of Global and Domestic Challenges
Today, it is widely acknowledged that the global economy has slowed
down. This is particularly the case with emerging markets such as
Nigeria. However, despite the weak emerging market growth rates, our
domestic security challenges, declining oil prices, and the attendant
difficulties in providing foreign exchange to meet market demands, the
Nigerian economy grew by 2.84 per cent in the third quarter of 2015.
We have, and will continue to implement strategies that will maintain
macroeconomic stability and manage the oil price shocks we are
experiencing.
Upon the inauguration of this administration on 29th May 2015, we
engaged key stakeholders from various sectors of our economy and
interfaced with the heads of Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs)
in order to understand the true state of our nation. What we found
prompted us to take certain strategic decisions.
On the economy, we injected new leadership at the helm of our revenue
generating agencies including the Federal Inland Revenue Service
(FIRS), Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), Nigerian
Communications Commission (NCC), and the Nigerian Customs Service (NCS).
We implemented the Treasury Single Account (TSA) which, so far, has
provided greater visibility of government revenues and cash flows. We
intervened to support states to navigate their fiscal challenges by
restructuring their commercial bank loans and by providing facilities to
enable them to pay salary arrears.
We have demonstrated a strong will to fight corruption. I am sure you
will agree that the sheer scale of corruption and impunity of the past
explains in part, the economic challenges we now face. On these
initiatives, and the many more to come, we shall not be deterred. We
will pursue the recovery of everything that belongs to the people of
Nigeria. No matter where it is hidden. No matter how long it will take.
2015 Budget Performance
Distinguished and honourable members of the National Assembly, I now
present a review of the 2015 Budget. That Budget was based on a
benchmark oil price of 53 dollars per barrel, oil production of 2.28
million barrels per day and an exchange rate of N190 to the dollar.
The projected revenue was N3.45 trillion, with an outlay of N4.49
trillion, implying a deficit of N1.04 trillion. Due largely to
under-provisioning by the previous administration for fuel subsidy and
the costs required to support the military operations in the Northeast,
the government had to obtain National Assembly’s approval for a
supplementary budget of N575.5 billion. I take this opportunity to thank
all members of the National Assembly for the prompt passage of that
bill.
2016: Budget Assumptions
After reviewing the trends in the global oil industry, we have set a
benchmark price of 38 dollars per barrel and a production estimate of
2.2 million barrels per day for 2016. We have focused on non-oil
revenues by broadening our tax base and improving the effectiveness of
our revenue collecting agencies.
Also, with the full implementation of the Treasury Single Account, we
expect significant improvements in the collection and remittance of
independent revenues. To further support the drive for increased
remittances, we will ensure that all MDAs present their budgets in
advance, and remit their operating surpluses as required by section 22
of the Fiscal Responsibility Act.
We are determined to ensure that our resources are managed prudently
and utilised solely for the public good. To set the proper tone, one of
our early decisions was the adoption of a zero based budgeting approach,
which ensures that resources are aligned with government’s priorities
and allocated efficiently. This budgeting method, a clear departure from
previous budgeting activities, will optimise the impact of public
expenditure.
In addition to the proper linkage of budgeting to strategic planning,
we are enhancing the utilisation of the Government Integrated Financial
Management Information Systems (GIFMIS) to improve financial
management. The recently established Efficiency Unit is working across
MDAs to identify and eliminate wasteful spending, duplication and other
inefficiencies. We engaged costing experts to scrutinise the 2016 budget
proposals. They have already identified certain cost areas that can be
centralised for economies to be made.
We have directed the extension of the Integrated Personnel Payroll
Information System (IPPIS) to all MDAs to reap its full benefits. We
will also strengthen the controls over our personnel and pension costs
with the imminent introduction of the Continuous Audit Process (CAP).
These initiatives will ensure personnel costs are reduced. Our
commitment to a lean and cost effective government remains a priority,
and the initiatives we are introducing will signal a fundamental change
in how government spends public revenue.
2016: Laying the Foundation for Sustainable Growth
The 2016 budget, as outlined, is designed to ensure that we revive
our economy, deliver inclusive growth to Nigerians and create a
significant number of jobs.
We aim to ensure macroeconomic stability by achieving a real GDP
growth rate of 4.37 per cent and managing inflation. To achieve this, we
will ensure the aligning of fiscal, monetary, trade and industrial
policies.
As we focus on inclusive growth, we are conscious of the current rate
of unemployment and underemployment. This is a challenge we are
determined to meet; and this budget is the platform for putting more
Nigerians to work.
I can assure you that this administration will have a job creation
focus in every aspect of the execution of this budget. Nigeria’s job
creation drive will be private sector led. We will encourage this by a
reduction in tax rates for smaller businesses as well as subsidised
funding for priority sectors such as agriculture and solid minerals.
As an emergency measure, to address the chronic shortage of teachers
in public schools across the country, we also will partner with state
and local governments to recruit, train and deploy 500,000 unemployed
graduates and NCE holders. These graduate teachers will be deployed to
primary schools, thereby, enhancing the provision of basic education
especially in our rural areas.
We also intend to partner with state and local governments to provide
financial training and loans to market women, traders and artisans,
through their cooperative societies. We believe that this segment of our
society is not only critical to our plan for growing small businesses,
but it is also an important platform to create jobs and provide
opportunities for entrepreneurs.
Furthermore, through the Office of the Vice-President, we are working
with various development partners to design an implementable and
transparent conditional cash transfer programme for the poorest and most
vulnerable. This programme will be implemented in phases.
Already, the compilation of registers of the poorest persons is
ongoing. In the coming weeks, we will present the full programme, which
will include our home-grown public primary school feeding and free
education for science, technology and education students in our tertiary
institutions. Indeed, this will mark a historic milestone for us as a
nation.
The 2016 Budget
Distinguished members of the National Assembly, I now present, the
2016 Budget proposals of the Federal Government. Based on the
assumptions I presented earlier, we have proposed a budget of N6.08
trillion with a revenue projection of N3.86 trillion resulting in a
deficit of N2.22 trillion.
The deficit, which is equivalent to 2.16 per cent of Nigeria’s GDP,
will take our overall debt profile to 14 per cent of our GDP. This
remains well within acceptable fiscal limits. Our deficit will be
financed by a combination of domestic borrowing of N984 billion and
foreign borrowing of N900 billion totaling N1.84 trillion. Over the
medium term, we expect to increase revenues and reduce overheads, to
bring the fiscal deficit down to 1.3 per cent of GDP by 2018.
In 2016, oil related revenues are expected to contribute N820
billion. Non-oil revenues, comprising Company Income Tax (CIT), Value
Added Tax (VAT), Customs and Excise duties, and Federation Account
levies, will contribute N1.45 trillion. Finally, by enforcing strict
compliance with the Fiscal Responsibility Act, 2007 and public
expenditure reforms in all MDAs, we have projected up to N1.51 trillion
from independent revenues.
Although we are working to diversify our economy, we will not lose
sight of the need to restructure the oil and gas sector which has been
marred by corruption and plagued with inefficiencies. Accordingly, I
have directed the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency (PPPRA)
to adjust its pricing template to reflect competitive and market driven
components. We believe this can lower input costs and attain efficiency
savings that will enable PPPRA to keep the selling price for all
marketers of petrol at N87 per liter for now.
The current fuel scarcity with long queues at petrol stations all
over the country causing social dislocation is very unfortunate.
Government profoundly apologises to Nigerians for this prolonged
hardship and misery. It is as a result of market speculators and
resistance to change by some stakeholders. Government is working very
hard to end these shortages and bring fuel to the pumps all over the
country.
I have also directed the NNPC to explore alternate funding models
that will enable us to honour our obligations in Joint Ventures (JVs)
and deep offshore fields. We are confident that these measures can be
achieved and will lower the burden that the traditional cash calls have
imposed on our budget and cash flows as well as contribute towards
shoring up our national reserves.
To deliver our development objectives, we have increased the capital
expenditure portion of the budget from N557 billion in the 2015 budget
to N1.8 trillion, in the 2016 budget.
Distinguished and honourable members of the National Assembly, for
the first time in many years, capital expenditure will represent 30 per
cent of our total budget. In future years we intend to raise the
percentage allocation for capital expenditure.
This is a fulfillment of our promise to align expenditure to our
long-term objectives, and a sign of government’s commitment to
sustainable development.
This increased capital expenditure commits significant resources to
critical sectors such as Works, Power and Housing – N433.4 billion;
Transport – N202.0 billion; Special Intervention Programmes – N200.0
billion; Defence – N134.6 billion; and Interior – N53.1 billion. These
investments in infrastructure and security are meant to support our
reforms in the Agriculture, Solid Minerals and other core job creating
sectors of our economy.
We will invest to safeguard lives and property.
We will invest in equipping our farmers with the right tools, technology and techniques.
We will invest in empowering and enabling our miners to operate in a safe, secure and humane environment.
We will invest in training our youths, through the revival of our
technical and vocational institutions to ensure they are competent
enough to seize the opportunities that will arise from this economic
revival.
Indeed, the future looks bright. And I ask that we all work together
to make this vision a reality. The 223 per cent year on year growth in
capital expenditure demonstrates our desire to make Nigeria more
competitive, and start the journey to deliver sustainable development in
our country.
In fulfillment of our promise to run a lean government, we have
proposed a 9 per cent reduction in non-debt recurrent expenditure from
N2.59 trillion in the 2015 Budget to N2.35 trillion in 2016.
Furthermore, we have budgeted N300 billion for Special Intervention
Programmes, which takes the total amount for non-debt recurrent
expenditure to N2.65 trillion.
As I mentioned earlier, the Efficiency Unit set up by this
Administration together with effective implementation of GIFMIS and
IPPIS will drive a reduction of overheads by at least 7 per cent,
personnel costs by 8 per cent and other service wide votes by 19 per
cent. Distinguished and honourable members, this budget will be executed
to provide optimum value by ensuring every naira spent by this
government, counts.
We will devote a significant portion of our recurrent expenditure to
institutions that provide critical government services. We will spend
N369.6 billion in Education; N294.5 billion in Defence; N221.7 billion
in Health and N145.3 billion in the Ministry of Interior. This will
ensure our teachers, armed forces personnel, doctors, nurses, police
men, fire fighters, prison service officers and many more critical
service providers are paid competitively and on time.
Distinguished and honourable members of the National Assembly, our
2016 borrowings will be principally directed to fund our capital
projects. Furthermore, the sum of N113 billion will be set aside for a
Sinking Fund towards the retirement of maturing loans; while N1.36
trillion has been provided for foreign and domestic debt service. This
calls for prudent management on our part, both of the debt portfolio and
the deployment of our hard earned foreign exchange earnings.
I am aware of the problems many Nigerians currently have in accessing
foreign exchange for their various purposes – from our traders and
business operators who rely on imported inputs; to manufacturers needing
to import sophisticated equipment and spare parts; to our airlines
operators who need foreign exchange to meet their international
regulatory obligations; to the financial services sector and capital
markets who are key actors in the global arena.
These are clearly due to the current inadequacies in the supply of
foreign exchange to Nigerians who need it. I am however assured by the
Governor of Central Bank that the bank is currently fine-tuning its
foreign exchange management to introduce some flexibility and encourage
additional inflow of foreign currency to help ease the pressure.
We are carefully assessing our exchange rate regime keeping in mind
our willingness to attract foreign investors but at the same time,
managing and controlling inflation to level that will not harm the
average Nigerians. Nigeria is open for business. But the interest of all
Nigerians must be protected. Indeed, tough decisions will have to be
made. But this does not necessarily mean increasing the level of pain
already being experienced by most Nigerians.
So to the investors, business owners and industrialists, we are aware
of your pains. To the farmers, traders and entrepreneurs, we also hear
you. The status quo cannot continue. The rent seeking will stop. The
artificial current demand will end. Our monetary, fiscal and social
development policies are aligned.
Conclusion
Mr. Senate President, Mr. Speaker, distinguished members of the
National Assembly, in spite of the global economic uncertainties; we
must remain steadfast in our commitment to steer this country back to
greatness.
The Nigerian economy needs to move away from dependency on oil. Our
growth must be inclusive. Nigerians must be part of the growth story. As
a government, we shall deliver security, jobs and infrastructure. This
is the right of all Nigerians.
I know many people will say “I have heard this before”. Indeed, trust
in government, due to the abuse and negligence of the past, is at an
all-time low. This means we must go back to basics. Our actions will
speak for us. My team of dedicated, committed and patriotic Nigerians is
well aware of the task ahead and I can assure you that we are taking on
the challenge.
We will not betray the trust reposed in us.
We will welcome and be responsive to your feedback and criticisms.
We are here to serve. And indeed, Nigerians will get the service they have longed for and which they rightly deserve.
We as a government cannot do it alone. We will require the support of
all civil servants, the organised labour, industry groups, the press
and of course, our religious and traditional institutions. This is a
call for all of us to stand and serve our country.
This budget represents a major step in delivering a new opportunity
for Nigeria. It demonstrates our confident optimism that despite the
challenging times, we have the will, resourcefulness and commitment to
deliver prosperity to our people. And by the Grace of Almighty God and
the sheer will and determination
of the Nigerian people, we will come out stronger and more united than ever.
Thank you and God bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria.